No black box, no proprietary mystery models. Just the methodology sharp bettors have used for decades, automated and delivered to your phone.
Pinnacle is widely regarded as the sharpest sportsbook in the world. They accept large action from professional bettors and adjust quickly. Their lines incorporate sharp money — making their no-vig (devigged) probability the closest thing to true probability the market has.
We pull Pinnacle's live odds for every supported player prop on a refresh cycle and apply multiplicative devig to get the implied true probability for each side.
For every prop, we compare Pinnacle's true probability to the offered prices at DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, ESPN BET, Fanatics. The book offering the best (most generous) price relative to true probability is identified automatically.
Supported sports: MLB, NBA, NHL. Player prop markets only — pitcher stats, batter total bases, player points/assists/rebounds/threes, shots on goal, goalie saves.
When the best soft-book price implies a 5%+ edge over Pinnacle's true probability, you get a Discord alert. 8%+ EV gets a 🔥 fire alert.
Every alert is scored with an Edge Quality tier based on whether other soft books agree with Pinnacle or cluster against it:
Every alert includes a recommended stake sized using fractional Kelly (currently 3/8 Kelly). The stake is shown in units — where 1 unit = 1% of your bankroll — so you can apply it to any bankroll size.
All recommendations are capped at 5% of bankroll per bet to limit single-bet variance. You can always size smaller if you want.
US sportsbooks make most of their money from recreational bettors. They're optimized for handle, not for pricing efficiency. When news breaks, lineups confirm, or sharp action hits Pinnacle, US books often take minutes to hours to catch up.
That delta is your edge. NovaLine just makes it visible the moment it appears.
Every alert that's ever fired (with Pinnacle line, EV, stake, result) is in the public bet tracker.
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